Theresa May and her party could lose their control over the UK if an election was held now, a damning survey has revealed. The poll, conducted by polling company ComRes, was commissioned by independent pro-Brexit group, Brexit Express. And the shocking results highlight how support is haemorrhaging from the Conservative party amid the ongoing Brexit turmoil and deadlock.
The UK is not due to have another general election until 2022, but with the current unstable political climate, there is certainly no guarantee we won’t have one sooner.
The Conservative party already lost almost 1,300 seats in devastating local election results in England and Northern Ireland this month.
And polls for the upcoming EU elections are looking just as disastrous.
But this Westminster voting intention poll shows just how catastrophic the ruling party’s decline is becoming.
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The poll gives Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour the lead, with 27 percent of the vote – not enough to form a majority, but enough to form a minority government much like the one the Tories have now.
Second is Nigel Farage’s increasingly popular Brexit Party coming in with 20 percent – and trailing in third are the Tories with 19 percent.
Lib Dems are in fourth with 14 percent, followed by Change UK with seven percent, Green Party with five percent, UKIP with three percent and the SNP with three percent.
Plaid Cymru and ‘other’ bring up the rear with one percent each.
The shock poll surveyed 2,034 British adults online on May 9, and weighted data by the 2017 General Election vote recall and the 2016 EU Referendum vote.
Andrew Hawkins, the chairman of ComRes, described the poll as a “disaster” for the Conservatives.
He said: “If the Conservative leadership contenders are not careful, there will be no party for them to lead.”
But Joe Twyman, founder of polling firm Deltapoll, urged caution when reading polls.
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He said: “Polls are only ever a snapshot of public opinion, not a prediction. They are all subject to a margin of error.”
But the Brexit Party’s increasing popularity is not lost on Tories at the most senior levels.
On Monday, MP Crispin Blunt, a former chair of the foreign affairs committee, told Newsnight: “In my judgment, we are going to have to come to an accommodation with the Brexit party.
“The Conservatives, as a Brexit party again, being very clear about their objectives, are almost certainly going to have to go into some kind of electoral arrangement with the Brexit party, otherwise Brexit doesn’t happen.”