Donald Trump is currently leading a strong voter base in his favour for the 2020 Presidential Election according to polls. The President has established an economic base many voters are satisfied with, which has led some experts to predict the controversial President’s victory. Concrete economic policies have helped presidents win elections in the past and this could well happen again. However President Trump’s approval rating is still dipping, and some believe this will ultimately determine his failure to stay in office.
A recent poll by news site CNN questioned the public on Donald Trump’s key policies and performance.
They found 71 percent of people believe the American economy is in good shape.
This is the highest number of approving respondents since CNN conducted a former poll in 2001.
Some 51 percent of people are happy with the way Mr Trump himself has handled the economy but the President’s approval rating remains at a low 42 percent.
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Political opinion pollsters at FiveThirtyEight talked about predicting the outcome of the 2020 election.
In FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat, editor in chief Nate Silver revealed the core factors he thinks will win the 2020 elections.
He believes Donald Trump’s lack of popularity will be offset by a potential unpopular Democratic candidate.
This could mirror the 2016 elections when Hillary Clinton’s unpopularity ultimately outweighed the odds stacked against Mr Trump.
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He said: “The case against Trump is that he’s pretty darn unpopular.
“The case for Trump is that the Democratic nominee might be pretty darn unpopular too.”
One of the core balls in Donald Trump’s court would be economic performance, which Mr Silver says could be misleading.
He said: “If I’m Trump, I’d be a little scared that my approval rating is only at 41 or 42 percent when the economy is quite good.”
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However, Mr Silver also said there is very little which could reliably determine the outcome of the 2020 race available right now.
He said: “To be honest, I’m not sure if we’ll learn anything that meaningful about Trump’s re-election odds for the next six months.
“I guess we’ll learn the status of the Mueller report.
“But it’s a bit too early to know what the economy will look like in 2020, and it will still be kinda early six months from now.”