BREXIT 2019 CRISIS: Theresa May to ‘run out of road’ next year

Posted on Dec 26 2018 - 1:03pm by admin

The Prime Minister has managed to survive the myriad obstacles 2018 has thrown at her but Ladbrokes has given Mrs May a 2/5 chance of getting replaced next year and Coral has this at 1/2. Alex Apati of Ladbrokes said: “The latest betting suggests we’re in for a hectic year on the political front, with a change in Downing Street looking more likely than ever.”Although Mrs May won the Conservative Party attempt to oust her as Prime Minister on December 12, it is likely to be a temporary win. Chairman of the conservative think thank, the Bow Group, Ben Harris-Quinney said: “2019 is the year Theresa May will run out of road, I can’t envisage a situation where it doesn’t end messily.

“May doesn’t have grassroots support in the Conservative Party, she is likely to see the collapse in her government.”

Coral’s Harry Aitkenhead said 2019 will be another chaotic year in UK politics.

Mr Aitkenhead said: “We make it 5-4 for another Brexit referendum and 6-4 for a General Election and both are definite possibilities now, whereas back twelve months ago they were both seen as unlikely.

“Theresa May is odds on to be replaced as the Conservative leader, whilst it is 2-1 for Jeremy Corbyn to be ousted as Labour leader with the head of the opposition definitely safer than his counterpart this Christmas.”

Mr Harris-Quinney said the Tory Party is weak and divided so the Labour Party could monopolise on this and the chances of another General Election are “probable but not certain”.

He said: “I think 2019 will either be a great year or a terrible year, it depends whether we get a deal on Brexit, it is a fork in the road year.

“I think if the result of the referendum is ignored, it would disrupt the country and it would take a long time to recover.

“If we get a no-deal or a Canada-plus style deal, we will be able to forge fantastic trade deals with the US.”

Mr Harris-Quinnney believes a no-deal Brexit is the most likely outcome and Mrs May’s only hope for a deal is to rely on support from the Lib Dems, Labour and the SNP.

He described the Conservative Party as “dilapidated” which must attract younger members like the Labour Party has done.

He said: “The average age of active members in the Conservative Party is astonishingly in the early seventies. There should be urgent reform.”

The Bow Group chairman wants to see the former Brexit Secretary David Davis replace Mrs May to push the Brexit agenda and democratic reforms as he is adamant there should be a Brexit government.

Ladbrokes has placed the chance of the UK leaving the EU with a no Brexit deal before April 1 2019 is 4/6.

He also said that even if Mrs May gets her deal through Parliament, she will face pressure to resign as many of the Conservative Party members are opposed to her deal.

Ladbrokes have given Boris Johnson, Sajid Javid and Dominic Raab the top odds to replace Mrs May as next Prime Minister.

Daniel Pryor from the Adam Smith Institute think tank said the Tories are in a “fragile” position.

He said: “The Tories are in a fragile position with widespread hostility to the PM’s Withdrawal Agreement.”

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